The Dallas Stars are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race. Here is the detailed statistical breakdown of the 2025-26 season.
Team stats through March 2026 (source: Hockey Reference, Natural Stat Trick):
- Record: 42-25-7 (91 points)
- Goals for per game: 3.24 (9th in NHL)
- Goals against per game: 2.71 (11th in NHL)
- Power play: 24.1% (8th in NHL)
- Penalty kill: 81.8% (12th in NHL)
What is working:
- Power play: After a slow start to the season (18% through November), the coaching staff made a formation change. Moving the bumper spot to the right side and using one-timers from the left circle increased conversion rate by 6 percentage points. Source: Natural Stat Trick PP splits.
- Goaltending: The starting goaltender has posted a .918 save percentage over the last 30 games, up from .908 in the first 20. When the goaltending is above .915, the Stars are 28-9. Below .915, they are 14-16-7.
- 5-on-5 play: Stars control 52.3% of expected goals at 5-on-5 per Natural Stat Trick. That is a team that is generating more high-quality chances than it is giving up.
What needs to improve:
- Third period play: The Stars have been outscored 78-71 in third periods. They are giving up leads late. Source: Hockey Reference period splits.
- Road record: 18-15-4 on the road versus 24-10-3 at home. The home/road split is too wide for a serious contender.
Playoff outlook: MoneyPuck gives the Stars a 78% chance of making the playoffs and a 6.2% chance of winning the Stanley Cup. Source: MoneyPuck.com.
Sources:
- Hockey Reference — team stats
- Natural Stat Trick — advanced metrics
- MoneyPuck — playoff probabilities
6.2% Cup probability from MoneyPuck is actually decent for a team in the wild card hunt. In the NHL, any team that makes the playoffs has a legitimate shot. The margins are thin.